Statistical Analysis and Estimation of Wind Speed Characteristics and Energy Potential for Power Generation in Forcados, South Southern, Nigeria

Abstract

This study examines the wind speed characteristics and potential for wind energy generation in Forcados, Nigeria.  Aiming to assess the viability of utilizing wind power for electricity generation in the area. Wind speed data collected from the Nigeria Meteorology Agency in Lagos, measured at heights of 10 meters and 50 meters, were analyzed between 2009 and 2019. The Weibull distribution function was applied to evaluate the wind energy potential. The results indicate that the mid-wet season, specifically July and August, exhibited the highest potential for wind energy harvest, while the onset of the dry season, specifically December, showed the lowest yield. The wind speed characteristics were analysed to estimate the wind energy potential, revealing high values for both the Weibull shape and scale parameters. These findings indicate the availability of favourable wind speeds and the consistently windy nature of Forcados. Furthermore, the monthly and annual mean wind speeds recorded exceeded the minimum values (3.0–4.0 m/s) required for most wind turbines to operate. The wind profile and its characteristics establish Forcados as a suitable location for wind power generation. Consequently, there is significant potential for wind power generation in Forcados and its surrounding areas